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☆ China PMI, bumper 'Golden Week' travel give glimmers of hope for economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-02 | by ( Laura He | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

PMI data released by Caixin Media and S&P Global showed both manufacturing and services losing some momentum. “We see increasing evidence of a near-term growth stabilization,” Nomura analysts said in a research note on Saturday, thanks partly to the raft of policy measures unveiled since late July, they added. While domestic travel for the Golden Week holiday appears strong, Chinese consumers are leaving the mainland in fewer numbers. Preliminary statistics from ForwardKeys, a global travel data provider, last week showed that Chinese travel within Asia was down 33% on pre-pandemic levels. On the first day of the Golden Week holiday, the number of mainland Chinese tourists entering Hong Kong was still less than half of 2018’s level, the city’s government said over the weekend.

Persons: Hong Kong CNN —, Stringer, “, ” Nomura, Julie Kozack, Xu Jiayin, Xu Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, National Bureau, Statistics, PMI, Caixin Media, P Global, Getty, China State Railway Group, Ministry, Transport, Ministry of Culture, Tourism, NBS, ” Citi, International Monetary Fund, Bank, Golden, Evergrande Group Locations: Hong Kong, Nantong, China's Jiangsu, AFP, China, Hangzhou, China's, Zhejiang, Beijing, Asia

☆ IMF sees signs China stabilizing, says reforms can boost medium-term growth
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The Fund sees China's GDP growth slowing to about 3.5% over the medium term, but this can be accelerated with economic reforms, she added. Some analysts see growing risk that China will drift into an era of Japan-like stagnation with an aging population and slowing productivity growth. "We expect that China's growth will slow to around 3-1/2 percent against the backdrop of demographic headwinds and slowing productivity growth," Kozack said. "But we also think that higher growth over the medium term is within reach for China. China should seize the opportunity to rebalance its economy through short-term macroeconomic policy support and medium term reforms."

Persons: Julie Kozack, Kozack, David Lawder, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Monetary Fund, IMF, Bank, Thomson Locations: China, Marrakech, Morocco, COVID, Japan, Beijing

☆ IMF says US government shutdown is 'avoidable risk,' urges parties to reach consensus
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

An American Flag on the U.S. Capitol Building is seen in Washington, U.S., August 31, 2023. REUTERS/Kevin Wurm Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Sept 28 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund on Thursday said a looming shutdown of the U.S. government posed an "avoidable risk" to the nation's economy, and urged parties to reach consensus on continued funding for the federal government. "We certainly are urging the parties to come together to reach a consensus and find a way forward," IMF spokesperson Julie Kozack told reporters at a regular briefing. "We do see a shutdown as an avoidable risk for the U.S. Reporting by Andrea Shalal; Editing by Mark PorterOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Kevin Wurm, Julie Kozack, Joe Biden, McCarthy, Kozack, Andrea Shalal, Mark Porter Organizations: U.S, Capitol, REUTERS, Rights, Monetary Fund, Democratic, House Republicans, Biden, United Auto Workers, Big Three Detroit, Thomson Locations: American, Washington , U.S, U.S

Here are some details of the impact:* DEATHThe war has caused death on a level not seen in Europe since World War Two. The war has left nearly 500,000 troops either dead or injured, according to the New York Times. Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu said on Sept. 21 that 5,937 Russian soldiers had been killed since the start of the war. When added to Crimea, which Russia annexed from Ukraine in 2014, Russia now controls about 17.5% of Ukraine, an area of about 41,000 square miles (106,000 square km). Shortly after Russia's invasion of Ukraine, international oil prices spiked to their highest levels since the records of 2008.

Persons: Chasiv Yar, Violeta Santos Moura, Sergei Shoigu, Julie Kozack, William Burns, Putin, Guy Faulconbridge, Philippa Fletcher Organizations: REUTERS, United Nations, Human Rights, New York Times, Russian, Reuters, Belfer, Harvard Kennedy School, International Monetary Fund, CIA, European Union, Kiel Institute, Thomson Locations: Chasiv, Ukraine, Donetsk, Europe, United States, Ukraine's, Russia, Crimea, Russian, UNHCR, UKRAINE Russia, Massachusetts , New Hampshire, Connecticut, wastelands, RUSSIA, Moscow, China, Saudi Arabia, Britain, Germany, Japan

☆ IMF urges Fed, central banks to keep tightening to reduce inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

IMF spokesperson Julie Kozack said inflation momentum has slowed in the United States, but remained a pressing concern. The IMF warned in April that lurking financial system vulnerabilities could erupt into a new crisis and slam global growth this year, edging its 2023 global growth forecasts lower. "We believe that central banks should stay the course on monetary tightening to decisively reduce inflation." "We also see that inflation momentum has slowed, but that inflation does remain a pressing concern," Kozack said. "Our advice remains unchanged, which is that the Fed would need to stay the course on monetary policy to ensure a durable reduction in inflation and to ensure that inflation expectations ... remain well-anchored."

Persons: Sarah Silbiger WASHINGTON, Julie Kozack, Kozack, Andrea Shalal, Paul Simao Organizations: El Progreso Market, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Monetary Fund, U.S . Federal Reserve, IMF, Thomson Locations: Mount Pleasant, Washington ,, United States, U.S

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